Unilever Nepal Limited (UNL) rose the most for the day, gaining 8.54%.
Garima Debenture, 2085 (GBBD85) dropped the most today, losing 9.97%.
Only one sector finished in the green today, “Hotels and Tourism,” which lost the most 1.24% apiece, while “Manufacturing and Processing” gained 0.90%.
The NEPSE index closed at 2,105.46 today after losing 16.40 points from the last trading day’s closing. This is a loss of 0.77%. The index lost 60.88 points on Sunday.
Today the index opened at 2,122.41 and made an intraday high of 2,122.56. It went as low as 2,100.57 and ultimately closed at 2,105.46.
The NEPSE index finished at 2,121.75 today, down 60.88 points from the previous trading day’s close. This is a 2.79% decrease. Yesterday, the index rose 12.45 points.
Today’s opening price for the index is 2,181.2, which is also the intraday high. It dropped as low as 2,117.67 before closing at 2,121.75.
Through 51,226 transactions, 253 scrips changed hands. A total of 8,139,840 shares were traded for a total of Rs. 2.062 Arba in turnover. This is less than the previous day’s turnover of Rs. 3.047 Arba.
Himalayan Distillery Limited (HDL) closed at a market price of Rs. 2,605 per share with the highest turnover of Rs. 14.37 crores. The most traded shares were those of NGPL.
Khaptad Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited (KLBS) gained the most for the day, 4.48%.
Ngadi Group Power Ltd. (NGPL) suffered the most loss today, falling 6.60%.
All sector indexes finished in the red today, with “Finance” losing the most 4.70% and “Mutual Fund” losing the most 0.83%.
This week’s NEPSE index finished at 2,182.63, up 88.09 points (4.21%). Last week, the index finished at 2,094.54, down 4.06% from the previous week.
This week, the index reached a top of 2,213.78 and a low of 2,087.48, resulting in a 126.3 point swing. The prior week’s volatility on the index was 101.74 points.
API Power Company Ltd. (API) shares were the most actively traded, with a total turnover of Rs. 5.86 crores at a market price of Rs. 302 per share.Barahi Hydropower Public Limited (BHPL) gained the most, gaining 10% and closing the day on a good note.
Nabil Balanced Fund-3 (NBF3), on the other hand, lost the most today, losing 5.75%.Only one sector finished in the negative today, “Mutual Fund,” which lost 0.20%, while “Development Bank” gained the most, 1.46%.
The NEPSE index finished at 2,170.21 today, down 7.13 points from the previous trading day’s close. This is a 0.33% decrease. Yesterday, the index rose 76.64 points.
The index started the day at 2,181.62 and reached an intraday high of 2,213.89. It dropped as low as 2,161.00 before closing at 2,170.21.Through 55,602 transactions, 257 scrips changed hands. A total of 10,502,649 shares were traded, totaling Rs. 3.691 Arba in activity. This is more than the previous day’s turnover of Rs. 3.362 Arba.The largest turnover was Rs. 11.28 crores by Nepal Reinsurance Company Limited (NRIC), which closed at a market price of Rs. 852 per share. API Power Company Ltd. (API) had the greatest trading volume.
Terhathum Power Company Limited (TPC) gained the most for the day, 3.32%
Adarsha Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited (ADLB) suffered the most loss today, falling 5.14%.
Only one sector finished in the green today, “Others,” which gained 0.50%, while “Finance” dropped the most, 1.94%.
The NEPSE index finished at 2,177.34 today, up 76.64 points from the previous trading day’s close. This is a 3.65% increase. Yesterday, the index rose 4.57 points.Today, the index began at 2,100.12 and closed at 2,099.03. It reached a high of 2,177.75 before closing at 2,177.34.
59,927 transactions resulted in the exchange of 260 scrips. A total of 9,333,788 shares were traded, totaling Rs. 3.362 Arba in turnover. This is more than the previous day’s turnover of Rs. 1.474 Arba.
The largest turnover was Rs. 12.92 crores, with NIC Asia Bank Ltd. (NICA) ending at a market price of Rs. 835 per share. The most traded shares were those of Ngadi Group Power Ltd. (NGPL).
Five scrips gained everything they could and made it to the positive circuit.12% ICFC Finance Limited Debenture 2083 (ICFCD83) fell the most today, losing 5.90%.Today, all sector indexes finished in the green, with “Investment” gaining the most 6.25% and “Mutual Fund” gaining the least 2.24%.
The NEPSE index finished at 2,100.65 today, up 4.57 points from the previous trading day’s close. This is a 0.22% increase. Yesterday, the index rose 1.54 points.
Today, the index began at 2,096.32 and closed at 2,087.20. It reached a high of 2,102.70 before settling at 2,100.65.
Through 29,846 transactions, 259 scrips changed hands. A total of 3,922,216 shares were traded, totaling Rs. 1.474 Arba in turnover. This is less than the previous day’s turnover of Rs. 1.931 Arba.
The NEPSE index finished at 2,096.08 today, up 1.54 points from the previous trading day’s close. This is a 0.07% increase. Last Thursday, the index fell 22.12 points.
The index opened at 2,096.7 and reached an intraday high of 2,118.27 today. It dropped as low as 2,087.69 before closing at 2,096.08.
In 39,187 transactions, 258 scrips changed hands. A total of 5,206,370 shares were traded, totaling Rs. 1.931 Arba in activity. This is less than the previous day’s turnover of Rs. 2.096 Arba.
NEPSE traded only four days this week because to the national holiday on Sunday. This week, the index finished at 2,183.21, up 4.40 points (0.20%). Last week, the index finished at 2,178.81, up 1.37% from the previous week.
This week, the index reached a high of 2,202.26 and a low of 2,140.18, resulting in 62.08 points of volatility. In the preceding week, the index had 77.78 points of volatility.
Trend analysis is a type of technical analysis that predicts future movement based on present trend data. The short-term trend on the daily charts is up, while the NEPSE index’s mid-term trends are still down.
Since its top of 1881 in 2016, the Nepal Stock Exchange has been on a downward trend. The market dropped to as low as 1100, a drop of nearly 40% from its peak. Many investors lost a lot of money as a result of the devastating market meltdown.
If we ask investors right now if they thought the market was going to tumble after 2016, many will say yes. However, at the peak, investors were more bullish on the market. The massive quantity of everyday turnover demonstrates this. The daily transaction amount was between 1.5 and 2 billion rupees.
So, how does an investor’s opinion of the same event change? This is a psychological phenomena known as ‘Hindsight bias.’
The tendency of people to perceive events as more predictable than they actually are is referred to as hindsight bias. In other words, it makes the past appear less predictable than it was. Things always appear more evident after they have occurred.
Decision making is difficult prior to the occurrence due to a lack of information and foresight. However, looking at the available results after the event, the outcome appears more predictable.
During the bullish era in our market, investors were uninformed of the oncoming market disaster. As a result, many people were highly involved in stocks. Some people predicted that the market would crash. However, no one was certain at the moment.
However, after the market fall, investors believe that they were forewarned that the market would drop. With more information regarding the market crash becomes accessible, investors appear to be more sure about the event’s predictability.
Consider the following scenario: You are considering purchasing a stock called ABC. However, you do not purchase it for some reason. The price of ABC stock then skyrockets. What are your thoughts?
The answer is that you are stupid. You kick yourself for squandering the opportunity. You are remorseful for not purchasing the stock when you realized it was a winner. You tell yourself, ‘I knew the stock would soar.’ This is what we mean by hindsight bias.
So, what makes it dangerous? This is because you have made a promise to yourself that you would not make the same mistake again. You are more confident in your decision-making abilities, and you vow to seize the next opportunity. This is the danger that hindsight bias can cause. The next time might not be the same as the previous.
Let’s have a look at another scenario: You consider purchasing a stock called ABC. However, you do not purchase it for some reason. The price of ABC stock then plummets. Now consider if you would have felt the same way in the first situation.
No, it does not. You congratulate yourself on making a wise decision not to buy ABC stock. You knew the stock would decline, which is why you didn’t buy it in the first place.
Why is the response different in these two cases? In an ideal world, the answer in both cirplusstances would be the same. In both cirplusstances, you made the same decision not to acquire stock ABC prior to the rise or fall in its price. However, after the event occurs, such as a price rise or decline, you change your reaction in accordance with the nature of the occurrence.
This is risky because it gives you the impression that you knew it all along, giving you a false sense of security in your judgment. This can lead to overconfidence in your financial abilities and reckless decisions.
Several behavioral experts have recommended producing a list of everything that was considered when making the decision. This could be a good plan. We will know what our thought process was at the time of decision making if we make a record of the reasoning behind our decisions. We cannot change our statements after the event has occurred. This will aid us in making an accurate assessment of our abilities.
Investors may not consider hindsight bias as a concern. However, it may lead you to make decisions based on your perspective rather than facts.
In our daily lives, we experience hindsight bias. Whether it’s investing, gaming, exams, or anything else, the outcome makes us feel much more confident in our abilities. If Real Madrid beats Sevilla, we’ll tell ourselves and others that we knew Madrid was going to win. Similarly, if the stock/real estate price is rising, ‘I knew it’ comes into play.
Even if it hasn’t caused any immediate harm, it can make you overconfident, causing your next bet to be more illogical. Real Madrid won, but the outcome might be different the next time. Past events cannot be utilized to predict the future completely. Information and strategies evolve in tandem with the passage of time.
As a result, it is preferable to treat each possibility as new and base your judgment on facts. The past appears to be easy to anticipate, yet this is not the case. It is a hallucination that arises following the occurrence of the result. As a result, it is preferable to stick to your investing ideas and tactics.