Tag: Inflation

  • Nepal Rastra Bank Unveils FY 2023/24 Macroeconomic Overview

    Nepal Rastra Bank Unveils FY 2023/24 Macroeconomic Overview


    Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) has presented a comprehensive overview of Nepal’s current macroeconomic and financial status based on data from the first eight months ending mid-March 2023/24.

    Inflation and Trade

    • Year-on-year inflation remained stable at 4.82%.
    • Gross foreign exchange reserves reached USD 14.14 billion.
    • Total imports decreased by 2.7%, exports by 4.0%, and trade deficit by 2.5%.
    • Concessional loans extended to various sectors totaled Rs. 149.30 billion.
    • NEPSE index rose to 2108.73 from 1953.06 a year ago.

    Inflation Trends

    • Consumer price inflation moderated to 4.82%, down from 7.44%.
    • Wholesale price inflation decreased to 3.69%.
    • Merchandise exports fell by 4.0%, while imports decreased by 2.7%.
    • Remittance inflows increased by 21.0%.

    Foreign Exchange and Reserves

    • Gross foreign exchange reserves grew by 21.7% to Rs. 1872.82 billion.
    • Reserves-to-imports ratio improved to 103.1%.
    • Exchange rate depreciated by 0.73% against the USD.
    • Government expenditure increased by 2.9% to Rs. 801.58 billion.
    • Revenue mobilization rose by 9.7% to Rs. 639.05 billion.

    Banking and Credit

    • Domestic credit and claims on the private sector increased by 4.0% and 5.6% respectively.
    • Deposits at BFIs expanded by 7.6% to Rs. 435.87 billion.
    • Average base rates for commercial banks stood at 8.77%.

    Balance of Payments

    • Balance of Payments remained in surplus at Rs. 327.55 billion.

    Overall, Nepal’s economy shows resilience and positive growth indicators amidst global economic fluctuations.

  • Nepal Rastra Bank Reports Stable Macroeconomic Indicators and Financial Trends for Mid-January 2023/24

    Nepal Rastra Bank Reports Stable Macroeconomic Indicators and Financial Trends for Mid-January 2023/24


    The Nepal Rastra Bank, the central bank of Nepal, has disclosed the current macroeconomic and financial state of Nepal based on data from the first six months ending mid-January 2023/24. The overall assessment reveals that inflation remained at 5.26% on a year-on-year basis, and the gross foreign exchange reserves reached USD 13.69 billion. Total imports decreased by 3.1%, exports by 7.2%, and the trade deficit by 2.6% during the period.

    As of mid-January 2023, the outstanding concessional loan amounted to Rs. 155.40 billion, benefiting 133,174 borrowers. Notably, Rs. 104.73 billion was extended to 52,872 borrowers for selected commercial agriculture and livestock businesses, while Rs. 48.60 billion was loaned to 77,918 women entrepreneurs. The NEPSE index stood at 2120.62, a slight decrease from 2149.39 in mid-January 2023.

    In terms of inflation, the year-on-year consumer price inflation moderated to 5.26% in mid-January 2024 compared to 7.26% a year ago. The merchandise exports decreased by 7.2% to Rs. 74.97 billion, with a notable decline in exports to India by 12.8%, while exports to China and other countries increased significantly. Merchandise imports decreased by 3.1% to Rs. 768.17 billion, and the total trade deficit decreased by 2.6% to Rs. 693.20 billion.

    Services income remained at a deficit of Rs. 36.06 billion, while remittance inflows increased by 25.3% to Rs. 733.22 billion. Inter-bank transactions among financial institutions totaled Rs. 2574.20 billion. The price of oil in the international market decreased by 4.2%, and the price of gold increased by 5.6%.

    Foreign exchange reserves increased by 18.0% to Rs. 1816.57 billion in mid-January 2024. The Nepalese currency depreciated by 0.91% against the US dollar. Government expenditure decreased by 1.7% to Rs. 566.62 billion, while revenue mobilization increased by 8.2% to Rs. 496.50 billion.

    In the monetary sector, domestic credit increased by 2.6%, and deposits at Banks and Financial Institutions (BFIs) expanded by 6.6%. Private sector credit from BFIs increased by 4.0%. The average base rates of commercial banks, development banks, and finance companies stood at 9.35%, 11.49%, and 12.77% respectively.

    The Balance of Payments (BOP) remained at a surplus of Rs. 273.52 billion, an increase from Rs. 92.15 billion in the same period of the previous year. In US Dollar terms, the BOP surplus was 2.06 billion compared to 697.4 million a year ago.

  • “Nepal Rastra Bank’s Mid-September 2023 Financial Snapshot: Inflation, Forex Reserves, and Economic Indicators”

    “Nepal Rastra Bank’s Mid-September 2023 Financial Snapshot: Inflation, Forex Reserves, and Economic Indicators”


    Nepal Rastra Bank, the central bank of Nepal, has released an overview of the current macroeconomic and financial situation in Nepal, based on data from the first two months ending in mid-September 2023.

    Inflation and Forex Reserves:The central bank reported an estimated year-on-year inflation rate of 8.19%. Nepal’s gross foreign exchange reserves stood at $12.01 billion, while total imports and exports declined by 5.1%, leading to a 4.7% reduction in the trade deficit.

    Concessional Loans: As of mid-September 2023, concessional loans amounted to NPR 195.62 billion, benefiting 144,758 borrowers, with a significant portion directed toward commercial agriculture, livestock, and women entrepreneurs.

    Stock Market: The NEPSE index in mid-September 2023 reached 1964.9, compared to 1910.4 in the same period the previous year.

    Inflation: Consumer price inflation for the same period was 8.19%, down from 8.64% the previous year. Wholesale price inflation also decreased significantly to 4.78%.

    Imports and Exports: Merchandise exports saw a 7.8% decrease in the first two months of 2023/24, while imports decreased by 5.1%. Exports to India declined, but exports to China and other countries increased.

    Services and Remittance: Nepal experienced a deficit in net services income, while remittances increased by 22.1%.

    Inter-bank Transactions:Interbank transactions, including those among commercial banks and other financial institutions, have seen a substantial increase.

    Oil and Gold Prices:The international price of oil increased, while gold prices also rose.

    Foreign Exchange Reserves: Gross foreign exchange reserves showed growth, covering a substantial portion of imports and other financial indicators.

    Exchange Rate:The Nepalese currency depreciated slightly against the US dollar.

    Government Expenditure and Revenue: The government’s expenditure and revenue figures were reported, providing insights into the country’s financial activities.

    Banking and Credit: Domestic credit decreased slightly, and the monetary sector’s claims on the private sector increased by 1.7%.

    Interest Rates: Various banking sectors reported their average base rates, which showed some variations compared to the previous year.

    Balance of Payments: The Balance of Payments (BOP) reflected a surplus, contrasting with a deficit from the same period in the previous year.

    This comprehensive report offers a detailed insight into Nepal’s economic and financial landscape during the initial two months of the fiscal year 2023/24.

  • Macro Economic Indicators of FY 2022/23: Remittance Inflows Rise by 22.7%, Inflation at 6.83%

    Macro Economic Indicators of FY 2022/23: Remittance Inflows Rise by 22.7%, Inflation at 6.83%


     

    As of mid-June 2023, there was a total outstanding concessional loan of Rs. 203.10 billion given to 147,510 borrowers. Out of this amount, Rs. 139.68 billion was provided to 61,235 borrowers for selected commercial agriculture and livestock businesses. Additionally, Rs. 60.46 billion was given as loans to 83,455 women entrepreneurs. In other specified sectors, a total of Rs. 2.97 billion in concessional loans was availed by 2,820 borrowers.

    During the same period, the NEPSE index, which measures the performance of the Nepal Stock Exchange, was recorded at 2042.07. This figure showed an increase compared to its value of 1996.26 in mid-June 2022.

  • Economic growth is expected to slow to 4.1% in 2023, with inflation remaining at 7.4%, according to the Asian Development Bank.

    Economic growth is expected to slow to 4.1% in 2023, with inflation remaining at 7.4%, according to the Asian Development Bank.


     

    The Asian Development Bank (ADB) forecasts 4.1 percent economic growth in Nepal in 2023, with inflation at 7.4 percent.

    According to the April 2023 Asian Development Outlook (ADO), Nepal’s economic growth rate is expected to slow in 2023 compared to last year due to tight monetary policy, sluggish domestic demand, the unwinding of pandemic stimulus, and persistent global headwinds.

  • 7-Month Macroeconomic Highlights: Inflation is 7.88%.

    7-Month Macroeconomic Highlights: Inflation is 7.88%.


    According to the Nepal Rastra Bank, inflation remained at 7.88 percent year on year. During the mentioned period, the gross foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 10.50 billion, while total imports and exports decreased by 19.9 percent and 29 percent, respectively, and the trade deficit decreased by 18.7 percent.

    The outstanding concessional loan was Rs.210.96 billion as of mid-February 2023, with 148,295 borrowers. For selected commercial agriculture and livestock businesses, Rs.142.56 billion has been extended to 61,335 borrowers. Similarly, 84,105 women entrepreneurs have received loans totaling Rs.65.19 billion. A total of 2,855 borrowers have received concessional loans in other specified sector

     

  • Becoming an Investor in Nepal

    Becoming an Investor in Nepal


    Before we get into how to become an investor in Nepal, it’s important to understand who an investor is. An investor is someone who puts money into something with the hope of profiting in the future. A return is the benefit derived from such an investment. Investors are always on the lookout for high-yielding investment opportunities.

    What distinguishes an investor from others?

    Based on a book written by Robert Kiyosaki Rich Dad Poor Dad, people can be divided into four distinct categories in terms of generating income. They are:

    1. Employee (Salary-based) are those who work for others in order to meet their needs. They are paid at the end of the month for their work. Job holders are included in this category. Employees benefit from security because they know they will be paid at the end of the month. The main disadvantage of being an employee is the lack of freedom.

    2. Self-employed are individuals who work for themselves. They have more freedom than salaried employees, but they must work like salaried employees to meet their demands.

    3. Businessmen are the owners of the company Business owners hire others to work for them. They create products and services in order to make money.

    4. Investors invest in businesses and stocks for profit.

    According to the book, in order to become wealthy, you must be either a businessman or an investor, or both.

    Investing characteristics

    Not all of your money can be considered an investment. There are a few factors that distinguish between spending and investing. The following are the two most important characteristics that every investor should possess:

    1. Safety of principal

    The principal is your machine, which can print money for you. It is in your best interest to keep your machine in good working order. When you lose your principal, you can’t make money off of it. As a result, the safety of the principal should be your top priority.

    2. Adequate return

    When you put your money into a good business, you get something in return. Your return can take the form of cash, shares, or stocks. What you should remember is that your principal earns you some level of return. You should not expect a return on your investment that is exponential or even out of the realm of possibility. Investing with a non-realistic expectation of return is gambling. Never put your principal at risk. It is all you have.

    Benefits of being an investor

    1. Beating inflation

    Inflation is a term used to describe the gradual decline in the purchasing power of money. A popular saying goes, “A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow.” As an investor, you have the ability to outperform inflation and keep your money’s value constant. You should always keep an eye on inflation and strive to outperform it. Your investment return should always be greater than your country’s inflation rate.

    2. Own businesses of different types

    It is yet another advantage of being an investor. You can own as many and as varied businesses as you want. What you should have are some investing principles that you can use before you start investing. After you’ve established your investing principle, the world is yours to explore.

    A popular investing field in Nepal

    There are three main popular fields of investing in Nepal. They are:

    Land and Real estate

    Real estate is and has always been the best investment opportunity. Real estate investment generates income from two sources: renting and selling real estate. It can be both active and passive investment. You can actively buy and sell properties, or you can simply invest in real estate and let time do the work of calculating your income. You can always expect your property’s value to rise over time. In the meantime, you can use the money you earn from renting to cover your day-to-day expenses.

    Interest yielding deposits

    Banks in Nepal offer competitive interest rates on fixed deposit savings. You can protect your principal by using fixed-deposit schemes offered by commercial banks or development banks in Nepal. While cooperative companies in Nepal have high rates of return, they have a bad reputation for fraud or scams. It is not a good idea to put all of your money in cooperatives.

    In Nepal, there is also peer-to-peer lending. It pays a higher interest rate on your money than institutions, but it also carries a higher risk.

    Interest-bearing deposits are one of the best passive income ideas in Nepal, regardless of where you choose to invest.

    Nepal Stock Exchange

    Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) is the country’s sole stock exchange. If you are new to this, you can read the NEPSE beginner’s guide. Investing in stocks provides you with two significant benefits. You can be a shareholder in any company you want, and you will receive an annual return. Alternatively, you can sell your stocks if the price rises. Stock investing, like real estate investing, allows you to be either an active trader or a passive investor. Stock investing can begin with as little as 100 rupees. Stocks could be the next best small business in Nepal for you.

    Furthermore, the best investment you can make is in yourself. Always seek to broaden your knowledge. Read books, websites, and news to stay current. One thing that all of the best investors have in common is that they are voracious readers. As the saying goes, the more you learn, the more you earn.

    Lastly…

    It is not easy to become an investor. To become a good investor in Nepal and other countries, a certain set of principles and hard work are required. However, it is not as difficult as learning rocket science. Anyone can become a good investor with careful planning and dedication. There are a few things you should never forget and a few things you should never forget. Best wishes for your investment.