On the 10th of Chaitra 2078, the Nepal Insurance Authority directed that life insurance businesses have a minimum paid-up capital of Rs. 5 Arba. The Insurance Board also encouraged non-life insurance companies to increase their paid-up capital to Rs. 2.5 Arba by the end of Chaitra 2079.
Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB), Nepal’s central bank, has released the country’s current macroeconomic and financial situation based on eight months of data ending in mid-March 2022/23.
Sunrise Focused Equity Fund (SFEF) units worth $10 billion have been listed on NEPSE. The fund initially offered just 12 crore units, however the offering was downsized due to a reduced number of applications.
The “Sunrise Focused Equity Fund” is a closed-end fund with a 10-year maturity horizon. On the 10th of Magh, Sunrise Capital allocated its Sunrise Focused Equity Fund. Nevertheless, the close-ended mutual fund received just 10 crore unit mutual fund applications out of the 12 crores available, forcing the fund manager to decrease the fund’s corpus to Rs 1 Arba.
The IME Life Insurance Company Limited Initial Public Offering (IPO) has been added to SEBON’s IPO pipeline for approval.
The company intends to sell 12 million unit shares to the general public for Rs. 276 each (Rs 100 face value + Rs 176 premium price). The company will raise a total of Rs. 3.312 billion through the IPO.
According to the Nepal Rastra Bank, inflation remained at 7.88 percent year on year. During the mentioned period, the gross foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 10.50 billion, while total imports and exports decreased by 19.9 percent and 29 percent, respectively, and the trade deficit decreased by 18.7 percent.
The outstanding concessional loan was Rs.210.96 billion as of mid-February 2023, with 148,295 borrowers. For selected commercial agriculture and livestock businesses, Rs.142.56 billion has been extended to 61,335 borrowers. Similarly, 84,105 women entrepreneurs have received loans totaling Rs.65.19 billion. A total of 2,855 borrowers have received concessional loans in other specified sector
The Nepal Bankers’ Association (NBA) has published a comprehensive study on deposit and lending trends in Nepal’s commercial banks. This information is current as of the end of Magh in 2079. Until Falgun 01, the CD ratio was 86.24.
The total amount of deposits increased by Rs. 14 billion (Arba) in the fourth week of Magh month, reaching Rs. 4741 billion. Deposits totaling Rs. 4630 billion have been made in rupees, with the remaining Rs. 111 billion in foreign currency. The total deposits at the start of Magh were Rs. 4708 billion.
Asian Hydropower Limited issued 697,200 units of shares worth Rs. 6.97 crores to the general public as a part of their Initial Public Offering (IPO) from 27th Magh till 3rd Falgun, 2079.
Out of the total 840,000 units; 10% i.e. 84,000 units have already been issued and allotted to Nepalese citizens working abroad, whereas 2% i.e 16,800 units have been set aside for the employees of the company and 5% of the total offered shares i.e. 42,000 units have been set aside for the mutual funds. The remaining 6,97,200 units are for the general public. The paid-up capital of the company will reach Rs. 34 Crores after the IPO issuance. The company intends to collect Rs 6.97 crore from this IPO.
NIBL Ace Capital Limited, a leading merchant banking and Inveent banking company, has provided its clients with a variety of financial services over the years. Portfolio Management Service (PMS) is one of these profitable services that has assisted many people in achieving their goals with a well-balanced risk and return.
In addition to investment banking, NIBL’s Merchant Banking business is structured around three distinct groups of businesses: portfolio management service (PMS), capital advisory, and debt funding, both in Nepal and globally. There are currently more than 1100 satisfied customers associated with the PMS, and the size of Asset Under Management (AUM) has now reached $4 billion.
Since its top of 1881 in 2016, the Nepal Stock Exchange has been on a downward trend. The market dropped to as low as 1100, a drop of nearly 40% from its peak. Many investors lost a lot of money as a result of the devastating market meltdown.
If we ask investors right now if they thought the market was going to tumble after 2016, many will say yes. However, at the peak, investors were more bullish on the market. The massive quantity of everyday turnover demonstrates this. The daily transaction amount was between 1.5 and 2 billion rupees.
So, how does an investor’s opinion of the same event change? This is a psychological phenomena known as ‘Hindsight bias.’
The tendency of people to perceive events as more predictable than they actually are is referred to as hindsight bias. In other words, it makes the past appear less predictable than it was. Things always appear more evident after they have occurred.
Decision making is difficult prior to the occurrence due to a lack of information and foresight. However, looking at the available results after the event, the outcome appears more predictable.
During the bullish era in our market, investors were uninformed of the oncoming market disaster. As a result, many people were highly involved in stocks. Some people predicted that the market would crash. However, no one was certain at the moment.
However, after the market fall, investors believe that they were forewarned that the market would drop. With more information regarding the market crash becomes accessible, investors appear to be more sure about the event’s predictability.
Consider the following scenario: You are considering purchasing a stock called ABC. However, you do not purchase it for some reason. The price of ABC stock then skyrockets. What are your thoughts?
The answer is that you are stupid. You kick yourself for squandering the opportunity. You are remorseful for not purchasing the stock when you realized it was a winner. You tell yourself, ‘I knew the stock would soar.’ This is what we mean by hindsight bias.
So, what makes it dangerous? This is because you have made a promise to yourself that you would not make the same mistake again. You are more confident in your decision-making abilities, and you vow to seize the next opportunity. This is the danger that hindsight bias can cause. The next time might not be the same as the previous.
Let’s have a look at another scenario: You consider purchasing a stock called ABC. However, you do not purchase it for some reason. The price of ABC stock then plummets. Now consider if you would have felt the same way in the first situation.
No, it does not. You congratulate yourself on making a wise decision not to buy ABC stock. You knew the stock would decline, which is why you didn’t buy it in the first place.
Why is the response different in these two cases? In an ideal world, the answer in both cirplusstances would be the same. In both cirplusstances, you made the same decision not to acquire stock ABC prior to the rise or fall in its price. However, after the event occurs, such as a price rise or decline, you change your reaction in accordance with the nature of the occurrence.
This is risky because it gives you the impression that you knew it all along, giving you a false sense of security in your judgment. This can lead to overconfidence in your financial abilities and reckless decisions.
Several behavioral experts have recommended producing a list of everything that was considered when making the decision. This could be a good plan. We will know what our thought process was at the time of decision making if we make a record of the reasoning behind our decisions. We cannot change our statements after the event has occurred. This will aid us in making an accurate assessment of our abilities.
Investors may not consider hindsight bias as a concern. However, it may lead you to make decisions based on your perspective rather than facts.
In our daily lives, we experience hindsight bias. Whether it’s investing, gaming, exams, or anything else, the outcome makes us feel much more confident in our abilities. If Real Madrid beats Sevilla, we’ll tell ourselves and others that we knew Madrid was going to win. Similarly, if the stock/real estate price is rising, ‘I knew it’ comes into play.
Even if it hasn’t caused any immediate harm, it can make you overconfident, causing your next bet to be more illogical. Real Madrid won, but the outcome might be different the next time. Past events cannot be utilized to predict the future completely. Information and strategies evolve in tandem with the passage of time.
As a result, it is preferable to treat each possibility as new and base your judgment on facts. The past appears to be easy to anticipate, yet this is not the case. It is a hallucination that arises following the occurrence of the result. As a result, it is preferable to stick to your investing ideas and tactics.