Just for context i am a beginner and i am curious about todays 6% increase.
What led to 6% surge in the market today?
View on r/NepalStock by The-Office-9056
Tag: caused
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Higher Impairment Charges Caused a 67.92% Drop in Kalika Laghubitta’s Net Profit
Kalika Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha (KMCDB) released its second-quarter report for FY 2079/2080, which showed a 67.92% decrease in net profit. According to the company’s report, net profit fell to Rs. 2.69 crores from Rs. 8.40 crores in the previous year’s corresponding quarter.
The decrease in growth profit is primarily due to impairment charges totaling Rs. 1.66 crores. Net interest income (core revenue) has also decreased by 9.23% to Rs. 13.7 crores from Rs. 15.16 crores in the same quarter last year.
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Higher Operating and Interest Expenses Caused a 95.81% Drop in Ridi Power’s Net Profit Company to Issue 50% Right Shares
Ridi Power Company Limited (RIDI) reported a 95.81% decrease in net profit in the second quarter (Q2) of the current fiscal year 2079/80. Profit declined to Rs. 1.96 crores in this quarter from Rs. 46.98 crores in the previous year’s equivalent quarter.
In this quarter, the firm recorded total income of Rs. 18.92 crores, a 71.94% reduction from the previous year’s similar period.
According to management, there has been no substantial change in the organization’s balance, income, or liquidity during this quarter. The operations are carried out in accordance with the company’s business plan. During this quarter period, as the company’s interest climbed, the income decreased, and it is projected that the profit will improve when the interest expenditure reduces in the future days, and the income will improve from the following quarter.
It has a reserve resource of Rs. 50.25 crores and a share capital of Rs 1.10 Arba. For Fiscal Year 2078/79, the corporation additionally proposed 40% bonus shares worth Rs. 44,25,43,200 and a 2.10% cash dividend (including tax) of Rs 2,32,33,518. The firm has capitalized these extra dividends, resulting in an increased paid-up capital of Rs. 1.54 Arba.
Furthermore, the business intends to issue 77,44,506 rights shares (1: 0.50 ratio right shares) to shareholders. Following SEBON clearance, this will be given from the paid-up capital of Rs. 1.54 Arba.
Its annualized earnings per share are Rs 3.56, its net value per share is Rs 145.43, and its P/E ratio is 153.94.
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The Cryptocurrency debate: Is legitimacy necessary?
Cryptocurrency, or “decentralized electronic currency,” is gaining popularity around the world these days. Last January, Nepal’s neighbor India published a “National Strategy on Blockchain” to regulate the technology. However, such currencies and transactions are absolutely prohibited in Nepal.
On the Internet recently, there has been a lot of discussion and information concerning cryptocurrencies. However, in Nepal, a correct understanding of this has yet to be created. Many people have heard of Bitcoin and have a basic knowledge of it. People, on the other hand, seemed to comprehend that ‘cryptocurrency’ means ‘bitcoin,’ and that ‘bitcoin,’ in turn, means ‘cryptocurrency.’ Not only the general people, but also the Nepal Rastra Bank, appears to believe this.
On the 13th of August 2017, the NRB issued a statement claiming that ‘Bitcoin transactions are unlawful in Nepal.’ This, however, has no bearing on other cryptocurrency coins.
Cryptocurrency and Bitcoin
According to CoinMarketCap, there are already over 10,000 cryptocurrencies in circulation around the world. Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, is the most valued and widely used. A Japanese programmer invented Bitcoin in 2009.
Thousands of cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are now available around the world. Ethereum, Polkadot, Ripple, and Dogecoin are examples of cryptocurrencies. In Nepal, however, the belief that Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency is widespread.
Is it due to a lack of awareness or carelessness?
All economic transactions in Nepal are regulated by the Nepal Rastra Bank. The bank’s policy capacity is called into doubt by its statement on Bitcoin, which is also the guardian of banks, financial institutions, and digital service providers in the country.
Foreign exchange transactions can only be carried out with a license from the Rastra Bank, according to Nepalese legislation. Money must be remitted abroad to trade and invest in bitcoin. The NRB’s declaration on Bitcoin, which came after it was proclaimed that moving money overseas without permission is prohibited, appears to have caused even greater confusion among the people. Is it allowed to invest in other coins? This is an intriguing question that occurs.
Investing possibilities
The worldwide media has recently reported on persons who have made millions of dollars by investing in cryptocurrency.
Two weeks ago, it was reported that a high-ranking Gold Sachs employee had resigned after earning tens of millions of dollars using DogeCoin. Similarly, word circulated quickly that a 25-year-old American had become a millionaire at such a young age by investing in Bitcoin. While its investment and business are growing in Europe and the United States, as well as in India, it is outlawed in Nepal.
At first look, Bitcoin does not appear to be a viable investment option in Nepal, where it is prohibited to transmit money overseas without the approval of the central bank. However, based on posts and statuses on social media and in groups, it appears that a significant quantity of money is being traded surreptitiously from Nepal.
Nepalis are investing in several ways, such as through the creation of websites, peer-to-peer transactions, or through friends and relatives residing abroad. People that invest in cryptocurrencies join groups on social media sites such as Facebook, WhatsApp, and Viber to trade it. Transactions, on the other hand, are not readily apparent because it is against the law.
Limitation of the declaration of illegality to paper
Many business operations that have been declared illegal by Nepalese law have not been stopped by the government. It doesn’t matter if it’s betting, Hundi, or e-commerce.
The indifference of stakeholders, despite the fact that the government’s policies and judgments are limited to paper, and the knowledge that comes out in pieces about these transactions that are done invisibly, is astounding.
Khalti, a digital service provider, alerted the Rastra Bank in April, requesting an investigation into the transaction statements of roughly a thousand users on suspicion of betting. However, the NRB has yet to take any action or make any statements in this regard.
Similarly, despite the fact that the Hundi business of transporting money from Nepal to foreign countries is unlawful, it appears that no action has been taken. Similarly, the Nepal Rastra Bank and the government appear to be on the same page when it comes to Bitcoin.
Is it important to have legitimacy?
This can be viewed from two angles. The world’s most powerful economies have endorsed cryptocurrencies, proclaiming it to be the currency of the future. Cryptocurrencies are being used to pay for restaurant bills, Netflix subscriptions, Tesla cars, and even sports tickets in some regions.
Its instantaneous legitimacy is unthinkable in Nepal, where moving money overseas is a crime. However, if Nepalese policymakers can interpret cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin differently in the near future, it may obtain legitimacy.
Trading in cryptocurrencies, which resembles stock market transactions, is less expensive than trading in fiat money (rupee, dollar, euro, pound, etc.) since cryptocurrency transfers do not require the use of a third party (bank). Without the need of a third party, money can be sent from anywhere in Nepal to anywhere in the world.
Cryptocurrency transactions are made feasible via blockchain technology. As a result, there is no need for a third party to complete the transaction. As a result, transactions are simple, secure, and rapid.
How do the transactions take place?
By opening a TMS account, you can purchase and sell cryptocurrency in the same manner you can buy and sell stocks (on the stock market). Buying and selling takes place on a variety of platforms. It can be traded on sites such as Binance, Crypto.com, Robinhood, Etoro, and Coinbase, for example.
To store this, you’ll need a crypto wallet. The use of blockchain technology is thought to be safe and dependable. To put it another way, transactions on the platforms can be compared to money kept in eSewa, and using a crypto wallet to make bank account deposits.
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How Does Hindsight Bias Influence Investing Decisions?
Since its top of 1881 in 2016, the Nepal Stock Exchange has been on a downward trend. The market dropped to as low as 1100, a drop of nearly 40% from its peak. Many investors lost a lot of money as a result of the devastating market meltdown.
If we ask investors right now if they thought the market was going to tumble after 2016, many will say yes. However, at the peak, investors were more bullish on the market. The massive quantity of everyday turnover demonstrates this. The daily transaction amount was between 1.5 and 2 billion rupees.
So, how does an investor’s opinion of the same event change? This is a psychological phenomena known as ‘Hindsight bias.’
The tendency of people to perceive events as more predictable than they actually are is referred to as hindsight bias. In other words, it makes the past appear less predictable than it was. Things always appear more evident after they have occurred.
Decision making is difficult prior to the occurrence due to a lack of information and foresight. However, looking at the available results after the event, the outcome appears more predictable.
During the bullish era in our market, investors were uninformed of the oncoming market disaster. As a result, many people were highly involved in stocks. Some people predicted that the market would crash. However, no one was certain at the moment.
However, after the market fall, investors believe that they were forewarned that the market would drop. With more information regarding the market crash becomes accessible, investors appear to be more sure about the event’s predictability.
Why is hindsight bias dangerous in investing?
Consider the following scenario: You are considering purchasing a stock called ABC. However, you do not purchase it for some reason. The price of ABC stock then skyrockets. What are your thoughts?
The answer is that you are stupid. You kick yourself for squandering the opportunity. You are remorseful for not purchasing the stock when you realized it was a winner. You tell yourself, ‘I knew the stock would soar.’ This is what we mean by hindsight bias.
So, what makes it dangerous? This is because you have made a promise to yourself that you would not make the same mistake again. You are more confident in your decision-making abilities, and you vow to seize the next opportunity. This is the danger that hindsight bias can cause. The next time might not be the same as the previous.
Let’s have a look at another scenario: You consider purchasing a stock called ABC. However, you do not purchase it for some reason. The price of ABC stock then plummets. Now consider if you would have felt the same way in the first situation.
No, it does not. You congratulate yourself on making a wise decision not to buy ABC stock. You knew the stock would decline, which is why you didn’t buy it in the first place.
Why is the response different in these two cases? In an ideal world, the answer in both cirplusstances would be the same. In both cirplusstances, you made the same decision not to acquire stock ABC prior to the rise or fall in its price. However, after the event occurs, such as a price rise or decline, you change your reaction in accordance with the nature of the occurrence.
This is risky because it gives you the impression that you knew it all along, giving you a false sense of security in your judgment. This can lead to overconfidence in your financial abilities and reckless decisions.
How do you prevent falling into the Hindsight Bias trap?
Several behavioral experts have recommended producing a list of everything that was considered when making the decision. This could be a good plan. We will know what our thought process was at the time of decision making if we make a record of the reasoning behind our decisions. We cannot change our statements after the event has occurred. This will aid us in making an accurate assessment of our abilities.
Investors may not consider hindsight bias as a concern. However, it may lead you to make decisions based on your perspective rather than facts.
In conclusion
In our daily lives, we experience hindsight bias. Whether it’s investing, gaming, exams, or anything else, the outcome makes us feel much more confident in our abilities. If Real Madrid beats Sevilla, we’ll tell ourselves and others that we knew Madrid was going to win. Similarly, if the stock/real estate price is rising, ‘I knew it’ comes into play.
Even if it hasn’t caused any immediate harm, it can make you overconfident, causing your next bet to be more illogical. Real Madrid won, but the outcome might be different the next time. Past events cannot be utilized to predict the future completely. Information and strategies evolve in tandem with the passage of time.
As a result, it is preferable to treat each possibility as new and base your judgment on facts. The past appears to be easy to anticipate, yet this is not the case. It is a hallucination that arises following the occurrence of the result. As a result, it is preferable to stick to your investing ideas and tactics.