and only 1 year bull. Ani dukkha, depression kina nalagos!
Bear period: 2016 to 2020 and 2021 to 2022.
Bull period: 2020 to 2021.
View on r/NepalStock by killsonicme
Tag: Bear
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In bear market, what’s better in your opinion, Averaging or buying new?
I’ll go first. I think buying new shares is better because it diversifies your portfolio. Though you are already on a loss, the new stocks which you’ll buy will definitely cover it up given you do careful research. For instance, the shares that were previously high priced, that gave good returns, are now available for lower price. My two cents, what’s yours.
View on r/NepalStock by Rhyss007
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Are we hitting the bottom of bear cycle ? jhandimar stock hitting two digit
In current bear cycle, we had seen many jhandimar stock still maintaining 200+, while banks were trading below 200. Since a month, jhandimar and weak hydros have fallen below 150 and many following same. hidclp has fallen below par value.
In my opinion, we are yet to hit the bottom of bear and eventually jhandimar hydros will hit two digit, only after that bull cycle shall start. Someone need to plot elliot wave or something like that.
you feedbacks are welcomed.
View on r/NepalStock by captainright1
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Becoming an Investor in Nepal
Before we get into how to become an investor in Nepal, it’s important to understand who an investor is. An investor is someone who puts money into something with the hope of profiting in the future. A return is the benefit derived from such an investment. Investors are always on the lookout for high-yielding investment opportunities.
What distinguishes an investor from others?
Based on a book written by Robert Kiyosaki Rich Dad Poor Dad, people can be divided into four distinct categories in terms of generating income. They are:
1. Employee (Salary-based) are those who work for others in order to meet their needs. They are paid at the end of the month for their work. Job holders are included in this category. Employees benefit from security because they know they will be paid at the end of the month. The main disadvantage of being an employee is the lack of freedom.
2. Self-employed are individuals who work for themselves. They have more freedom than salaried employees, but they must work like salaried employees to meet their demands.
3. Businessmen are the owners of the company Business owners hire others to work for them. They create products and services in order to make money.
4. Investors invest in businesses and stocks for profit.
According to the book, in order to become wealthy, you must be either a businessman or an investor, or both.
Investing characteristics
Not all of your money can be considered an investment. There are a few factors that distinguish between spending and investing. The following are the two most important characteristics that every investor should possess:
1. Safety of principal
The principal is your machine, which can print money for you. It is in your best interest to keep your machine in good working order. When you lose your principal, you can’t make money off of it. As a result, the safety of the principal should be your top priority.
2. Adequate return
When you put your money into a good business, you get something in return. Your return can take the form of cash, shares, or stocks. What you should remember is that your principal earns you some level of return. You should not expect a return on your investment that is exponential or even out of the realm of possibility. Investing with a non-realistic expectation of return is gambling. Never put your principal at risk. It is all you have.
Benefits of being an investor
1. Beating inflation
Inflation is a term used to describe the gradual decline in the purchasing power of money. A popular saying goes, “A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow.” As an investor, you have the ability to outperform inflation and keep your money’s value constant. You should always keep an eye on inflation and strive to outperform it. Your investment return should always be greater than your country’s inflation rate.
2. Own businesses of different types
It is yet another advantage of being an investor. You can own as many and as varied businesses as you want. What you should have are some investing principles that you can use before you start investing. After you’ve established your investing principle, the world is yours to explore.
A popular investing field in Nepal
There are three main popular fields of investing in Nepal. They are:
Land and Real estate
Real estate is and has always been the best investment opportunity. Real estate investment generates income from two sources: renting and selling real estate. It can be both active and passive investment. You can actively buy and sell properties, or you can simply invest in real estate and let time do the work of calculating your income. You can always expect your property’s value to rise over time. In the meantime, you can use the money you earn from renting to cover your day-to-day expenses.
Interest yielding deposits
Banks in Nepal offer competitive interest rates on fixed deposit savings. You can protect your principal by using fixed-deposit schemes offered by commercial banks or development banks in Nepal. While cooperative companies in Nepal have high rates of return, they have a bad reputation for fraud or scams. It is not a good idea to put all of your money in cooperatives.
In Nepal, there is also peer-to-peer lending. It pays a higher interest rate on your money than institutions, but it also carries a higher risk.
Interest-bearing deposits are one of the best passive income ideas in Nepal, regardless of where you choose to invest.
Nepal Stock Exchange
Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) is the country’s sole stock exchange. If you are new to this, you can read the NEPSE beginner’s guide. Investing in stocks provides you with two significant benefits. You can be a shareholder in any company you want, and you will receive an annual return. Alternatively, you can sell your stocks if the price rises. Stock investing, like real estate investing, allows you to be either an active trader or a passive investor. Stock investing can begin with as little as 100 rupees. Stocks could be the next best small business in Nepal for you.
Furthermore, the best investment you can make is in yourself. Always seek to broaden your knowledge. Read books, websites, and news to stay current. One thing that all of the best investors have in common is that they are voracious readers. As the saying goes, the more you learn, the more you earn.
Lastly…
It is not easy to become an investor. To become a good investor in Nepal and other countries, a certain set of principles and hard work are required. However, it is not as difficult as learning rocket science. Anyone can become a good investor with careful planning and dedication. There are a few things you should never forget and a few things you should never forget. Best wishes for your investment.
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Introductory Tips on Trading Stocks
Everyone is looking for a quick and easy way to riches and happiness. It seems to be human nature to constantly search for a hidden key or some esoteric bit of knowledge that suddenly leads to the end of the rainbow or a winning lottery ticket.
While some people do buy winning tickets or a common stock that quadruples or more in a year, it is extremely unlikely, since relying upon luck is an investment strategy that only the foolish or most desperate would choose to follow. In our quest for success, we often overlook the most powerful tools available to us: time and the magic of compounding growth. Investing regularly, avoiding unnecessary financial risk, and letting your money work for you over a period of years and decades is a certain way to amass significant assets.
Here are several tips that should be followed by beginning investors.
âEveryone is looking for a quick and easy way to riches and happiness. It seems to be human nature to constantly search for a hidden key or some esoteric bit of knowledge that suddenly leads to the end of the rainbow or a winning lottery ticket.
While some people do buy winning tickets or a common stock that quadruples or more in a year, it is extremely unlikely, since relying upon luck is an investment strategy that only the foolish or most desperate would choose to follow. In our quest for success, we often overlook the most powerful tools available to us: time and the magic of compounding growth. Investing regularly, avoiding unnecessary financial risk, and letting your money work for you over a period of years and decades is a certain way to amass significant assets.
Here are several tips that should be followed by beginning investors.
1. Set Long-Term Goals
Why are you considering investing in the stock market? Will you need your cash back in six months, a year, five years or longer? Are you saving for retirement, for future university expenses, to purchase a home, or to build an estate to leave to your beneficiaries?
Before investing, you should know your purpose and the likely time in the future you may have need of the funds. If you are likely to need your investment returned within a few months, consider another investment; the stock market with its volatility provides no certainty that all of your capital will be available when you need it.
By knowing how much capital you will need and the future point in time when you will need it, you can calculate how much you should invest and what kind of return on your investment will be needed to produce the desired result.
Remember that the growth of your portfolio depends upon three interdependent factors:
- The capital you invest
- The amount of net annual earnings on your capital
- The number of years or period of your investment
Ideally, you should start saving as soon as possible, save as much as you can, and receive the highest return possible consistent with your risk philosophy.
2. Understand Your Risk Tolerance
Risk tolerance is a psychological trait that is genetically based but positively influenced by education, income, and wealth (as these increase, risk tolerance appears to increase slightly) and negatively by age (as one gets older, risk tolerance decreases). Your risk tolerance is how you feel about risk and the degree of anxiety you feel when risk is present. In psychological terms, risk tolerance is defined as âthe extent to which a person chooses to risk experiencing a less favourable outcome in the pursuit of a more favourable outcome.â In other words, would you risk NPR 1000 to win NPR 10,000? Or NPR 10,000 to win NPR 10,000? All humans vary in their risk tolerance, and there is no ârightâ balance.
Risk tolerance is also affected by oneâs perception of risk. For example, flying in an aeroplane or riding in a car would have been perceived as very risky in the early 1900s, but less so today as flight and automobile travel are common occurrences. Conversely, most people today would feel that riding a horse might be dangerous with a good chance of falling or being bucked off because few people are around horses.
The idea of perception is important, especially in investing. As you gain more knowledge about investments â for example, how stocks are bought and sold, how much volatility (price change) is usually present, and the difficulty or ease of liquidating an investment â you are likely to consider stock investments to have less risk than you thought before making your first purchase. As a consequence, your anxiety when investing is less intense, even though your risk tolerance remains unchanged because your perception of the risk has evolved.
By understanding your risk tolerance, you can avoid those investments which are likely to make you anxious. Generally speaking, you should never own an asset which keeps you from sleeping in the night. Anxiety stimulates fear which triggers emotional responses (rather than logical responses) to the stressor. During periods of financial uncertainty, the investor who can retain a cool head and follows an analytical decision process invariably comes out ahead.
3. Control Your Emotions
The biggest obstacle to stock market profits is an inability to control oneâs emotions and make logical decisions. In the short-term, the prices of companies reflect the combined emotions of the entire investment community. When a majority of investors are worried about a company, its stock price is likely to decline; when a majority feel positive about the companyâs future, its stock price tends to rise.
A person who feels negative about the market is called a âbear,â while their positive counterpart is called a âbull.â During market hours, the constant battle between the bulls and the bears is reflected in the constantly changing price of securities. These short-term movements are driven by rumours, speculations, and hopes â emotions â rather than logic and systematic analysis of the companyâs assets, management, and prospects.
Stock prices moving contrary to our expectations create tension and insecurity. Should I sell my position and avoid a loss? Should I keep the stock, hoping that the price will rebound? Should I buy more?
Even when the stock price has performed as expected, there are questions: Should I take a profit now before the price falls? Should I keep my position since the price is likely to go higher? Thoughts like these will flood your mind, especially if you constantly watch the price of a security, eventually building to a point that you will take action. Since emotions are the primary driver of your action, it will probably be wrong.
When you buy a stock, you should have a good reason for doing so and an expectation of what the price will do if the reason is valid. At the same time, you should establish the point at which you will liquidate your holdings, especially if your reason is proven invalid or if the stock doesnât react as expected when your expectation has been met. In other words, have an exit strategy before you buy the security and execute that strategy unemotionally.
4. Handle Basics First
Before making your first investment, take the time to learn the basics about the stock market and the individual securities composing the market. There is an old adage: It is not a stock market, but a market of stocks. Your focus will be upon individual securities, rather than the market as a whole. There are few times when every stock moves in the same direction; even when the averages fall by 100 points or more, the securities of some companies will go higher in price.
The areas with which you should be familiar before making your first purchase include:
- Financial Metrics and Definitions. Understand the definitions of metrics such as the P/E ratio, earnings per share (EPS), return on equity (ROE), and compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Knowing how they are calculated and having the ability to compare different companies using these metrics and others is critical.
- Popular Methods of Stock Selection and Timing. You should understand how âfundamentalâ and âtechnicalâ analyses are performed, how they differ, and where each is best suited in a stock market strategy.
- Stock Market Order Types. Know the difference between market orders, limit order, stop market orders, stop-limit orders, trailing stop-loss orders, and other types commonly used by investors.
- Different Types of Investment Accounts. While cash accounts are the most common, margin accounts are required by regulations for certain kinds of trades. You should understand how margin is calculated and the difference between initial and maintenance margin requirements.
Knowledge and risk tolerance are linked. As Warren Buffett said, âRisk comes from not knowing what you are doing.â
5. Diversify Your Investments
Experienced investors such as Buffett eschew stock diversification in the confidence that they have performed all of the necessary research to identify and quantify their risk. They are also comfortable that they can identify any potential perils that will endanger their position, and will be able to liquidate their investments before taking a catastrophic loss.
The popular way to manage risk is to diversify your exposure. Prudent investors own stocks of different companies in different industries, sometimes in different countries, with the expectation that a single bad event will not affect all of their holdings or will otherwise affect them to different degrees.
Imagine owning stocks in five different companies, each of which you expect to continually grow profits. Unfortunately, cirplusstances change. At the end of the year, you might have two companies (A & B) that have performed well so their stocks are up 25% each. The stock of two other companies (C & D) in a different industry are up 10% each, while the fifth companyâs (E) assets were liquidated to pay off a massive lawsuit.
Diversification allows you to recover from the loss of your total investment (20% of your portfolio) by gains of 10% in the two best companies (25% x 40%) and 4% in the remaining two companies (10% x 40%). Even though your overall portfolio value dropped by 6% (20% loss minus 14% gain), it is considerably better than having been invested solely in company E.
6. Avoid Leverage/Margin Loan
Leverage/Margin loan simply means the use of borrowed money to execute your stock market strategy. In a margin account, banks and brokerage firms can loan you money to buy stocks, usually 50% of the purchase value. In other words, if you wanted to buy 1000 shares of a stock trading at NPR 100 for a total cost of NPR 100,000, your brokerage firm could loan you NPR 50,000 to complete the purchase.
The use of borrowed money âleversâ or exaggerates the result of price movement. Suppose the stock moves to NPR 200 a share and you sell it. If you had used your own money exclusively, your return would be 100% on your investment [(200,000 -100,000)/100,000]. If you had borrowed NPR 50,000 to buy the stock and sold at NPR 200 per share, your return would be 300 % [(200,000-50,000)/$50,000] after repaying the NPR 50,000 loan and excluding the cost of interest paid to the broker (which is usually 16% and over).
It sounds great when the stock moves up, but consider the other side. Suppose the stock fell to NPR 50 per share rather than doubling to NPR 200, your loss would be 100% of your initial investment, plus the cost of interest to the broker [(50,000-50,000)/50,000].
A margin is a tool that can go extremely bad in a stock market like Bangladesh.
Final Thoughts
Stock investments historically have enjoyed a return significantly above other types of investments while also proving easy liquidity, total visibility, and active regulation to ensure a level playing field for all. Investing in the stock market is a great opportunity to build large asset value for those who are willing to be consistent savers, make the necessary investment in time and energy to gain experience, appropriately manage their risk, and are patient, allowing the magic of compounding to work for them. The younger you begin your investing avocation, the greater the final results â just remember to walk before you begin to run.
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The Cryptocurrency debate: Is legitimacy necessary?
Cryptocurrency, or “decentralized electronic currency,” is gaining popularity around the world these days. Last January, Nepal’s neighbor India published a “National Strategy on Blockchain” to regulate the technology. However, such currencies and transactions are absolutely prohibited in Nepal.
On the Internet recently, there has been a lot of discussion and information concerning cryptocurrencies. However, in Nepal, a correct understanding of this has yet to be created. Many people have heard of Bitcoin and have a basic knowledge of it. People, on the other hand, seemed to comprehend that âcryptocurrency’ means âbitcoin,’ and that âbitcoin,’ in turn, means âcryptocurrency.’ Not only the general people, but also the Nepal Rastra Bank, appears to believe this.
On the 13th of August 2017, the NRB issued a statement claiming that âBitcoin transactions are unlawful in Nepal.’ This, however, has no bearing on other cryptocurrency coins.
Cryptocurrency and Bitcoin
According to CoinMarketCap, there are already over 10,000 cryptocurrencies in circulation around the world. Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, is the most valued and widely used. A Japanese programmer invented Bitcoin in 2009.
Thousands of cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are now available around the world. Ethereum, Polkadot, Ripple, and Dogecoin are examples of cryptocurrencies. In Nepal, however, the belief that Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency is widespread.
Is it due to a lack of awareness or carelessness?
All economic transactions in Nepal are regulated by the Nepal Rastra Bank. The bank’s policy capacity is called into doubt by its statement on Bitcoin, which is also the guardian of banks, financial institutions, and digital service providers in the country.
Foreign exchange transactions can only be carried out with a license from the Rastra Bank, according to Nepalese legislation. Money must be remitted abroad to trade and invest in bitcoin. The NRB’s declaration on Bitcoin, which came after it was proclaimed that moving money overseas without permission is prohibited, appears to have caused even greater confusion among the people. Is it allowed to invest in other coins? This is an intriguing question that occurs.
Investing possibilities
The worldwide media has recently reported on persons who have made millions of dollars by investing in cryptocurrency.
Two weeks ago, it was reported that a high-ranking Gold Sachs employee had resigned after earning tens of millions of dollars using DogeCoin. Similarly, word circulated quickly that a 25-year-old American had become a millionaire at such a young age by investing in Bitcoin. While its investment and business are growing in Europe and the United States, as well as in India, it is outlawed in Nepal.
At first look, Bitcoin does not appear to be a viable investment option in Nepal, where it is prohibited to transmit money overseas without the approval of the central bank. However, based on posts and statuses on social media and in groups, it appears that a significant quantity of money is being traded surreptitiously from Nepal.
Nepalis are investing in several ways, such as through the creation of websites, peer-to-peer transactions, or through friends and relatives residing abroad. People that invest in cryptocurrencies join groups on social media sites such as Facebook, WhatsApp, and Viber to trade it. Transactions, on the other hand, are not readily apparent because it is against the law.
Limitation of the declaration of illegality to paper
Many business operations that have been declared illegal by Nepalese law have not been stopped by the government. It doesn’t matter if it’s betting, Hundi, or e-commerce.
The indifference of stakeholders, despite the fact that the government’s policies and judgments are limited to paper, and the knowledge that comes out in pieces about these transactions that are done invisibly, is astounding.
Khalti, a digital service provider, alerted the Rastra Bank in April, requesting an investigation into the transaction statements of roughly a thousand users on suspicion of betting. However, the NRB has yet to take any action or make any statements in this regard.
Similarly, despite the fact that the Hundi business of transporting money from Nepal to foreign countries is unlawful, it appears that no action has been taken. Similarly, the Nepal Rastra Bank and the government appear to be on the same page when it comes to Bitcoin.
Is it important to have legitimacy?
This can be viewed from two angles. The world’s most powerful economies have endorsed cryptocurrencies, proclaiming it to be the currency of the future. Cryptocurrencies are being used to pay for restaurant bills, Netflix subscriptions, Tesla cars, and even sports tickets in some regions.
Its instantaneous legitimacy is unthinkable in Nepal, where moving money overseas is a crime. However, if Nepalese policymakers can interpret cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin differently in the near future, it may obtain legitimacy.
Trading in cryptocurrencies, which resembles stock market transactions, is less expensive than trading in fiat money (rupee, dollar, euro, pound, etc.) since cryptocurrency transfers do not require the use of a third party (bank). Without the need of a third party, money can be sent from anywhere in Nepal to anywhere in the world.
Cryptocurrency transactions are made feasible via blockchain technology. As a result, there is no need for a third party to complete the transaction. As a result, transactions are simple, secure, and rapid.
How do the transactions take place?
By opening a TMS account, you can purchase and sell cryptocurrency in the same manner you can buy and sell stocks (on the stock market). Buying and selling takes place on a variety of platforms. It can be traded on sites such as Binance, Crypto.com, Robinhood, Etoro, and Coinbase, for example.
To store this, you’ll need a crypto wallet. The use of blockchain technology is thought to be safe and dependable. To put it another way, transactions on the platforms can be compared to money kept in eSewa, and using a crypto wallet to make bank account deposits.
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Stock Trading in Nepal – An Introduction
A share is essentially a fraction of a company’s ownership. Purchasing or selling shares entails acquiring or disposing of a portion of the company’s ownership. The stock market, also known as the share market, is a place where you can buy and sell stocks. In order to raise money, public corporations usually sell shares to the public, but the stock market often trades other instruments such as debentures, bonds, and mutual funds.
Dividends are a way for you to get a piece of those companies’ earnings as a shareholder. While share trading is an exciting way to earn money both actively and passively, it is also risky since investors can have to bear the loss if the company fails. As a result, as a novice, it is important that you gain a thorough understanding of the market before investing your money in stocks.
Here is a brief introduction of how you can participate in the game of stock trading.
1. GET STARTED: OPEN A DEMAT ACCOUNT
Opening a dematerialized (DEMAT) account at one of the Depositary Participant (DP) licensed by the Central Depository System and Clearing Limited (CDSC) is a prerequisite to participate in both primary and secondary market. Most commercial banks, merchant bankers and stockbrokers provide such services. If you already own some stocks in your name, then you can give your DP to dematerialize your physical share certificates into dematerialized shares. The DEMAT account is similar to a bank account which debits and credits the shares you sell or purchase. Most DPâs also provide clients with facilities to check their DEMAT account status online as well.
2. KNOW THE MARKET
To get started in the stock market, it is essential to first understand how the market functions. Securities Board of Nepal (www.sebon.gov.np); the sole regulator of the capital market is a useful source for primary information. Its website provides information on various securities laws, investor education, and upcoming public issues amongst others. Similarly, the Nepal Stock Exchange (www.nepalstock.com) the sole secondary market; and its mobile-based application is a great source to get hands-on information. There are many other popular websites that provide constant updates about the capital market such as; Share Sansar and Mero Lagani. Furthermore daily national newspapers, websites of merchant bankers and credit rating agency â icranepal.com â also provide good information.
3. PARTICIPATE IN THE PRIMARY MARKET â APPLY IN PRIMARY OFFERINGS
One of the best opportunities to participate in the capital market is to apply for primary offers in the primary market such as; Initial Public Offering (IPO) or Further Public Offering (FPO). Most companies offer primary issues to the general public at face value of NPR 100 per stock, or at a premium based on their valuations. The risk is lower when you purchase in the primary market as you get an opportunity to buy shares at a lower cost as compared to purchasing those shares in the secondary market once they are listed. Also, look out for opportunities to participate in the primary offering of mutual fund schemes which can be a beginning point.
News about primary issues generally comes out in national newspapers and are widely announced on other media platforms. Once you know the primary issues are out, you can read their prospectus to see their detail information such as; past and projected performance, & management amongst others. You can also look at their credit rating provided by a licensed credit rating agency before making the decision to invest.
4. PARTICIPATE IN THE SECONDARY MARKETâ OPEN A TRADING ACCOUNT AT A STOCKBROKER OFFICE
All the stocks offered via the primary market are listed in the secondary market i.e. Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE); currently, there are 231 companies listed in the stock exchange. The secondary market provides the platform to sell the shares you hold or purchase new shares from the market. The share price of these listed companies and the value of NEPSE Index changes every day based on total demand and supply of shares in the market.
If you wish to get involved in the secondary market, you will need to open a transaction account at a stock brokerâs office. There are currently 50 stockbrokers licensed by NEPSE while there are a few stock broker offices outside Kathmandu. Once you open an account with a stockbroker, they will provide you with a unique ID code via which all the transactions in your name will be executed.
To make a purchase or sale order you will simply have to call your stock brokers or visit their office to place an order, make sure you have the shares in your DMAT account before you place a sell order to your stockbroker. The stockbroker charges some commission as a brokerage fee for each transaction while you have also have to pay a capital gain tax of 5% if applicable while making sales.
5. STILL CONFUSED- SEEK PROFESSIONAL HELP
If you are still confused and less confident about entering the market or you do not have time, energy and resources, do not worry as there are a number of professional licensed Portfolio Management Companies providing you with a full range of products and services under Portfolio Management Services (PMS). Based on your investment goals and expectations, these portfolio managers develop portfolios matching your risk appetite and invests in the capital markets on your behalf. The portfolio manager charges minimal annual and performance fees while these services offer you the opportunity to grasp the benefits of the capital markets. Moreover, you can also handover your existing portfolio to these portfolio managers for restructuring and further management.
All in all, as the stock market is constantly evolving and getting technical, retail investors are highly advised to seek professional advice and avoid making investments on herd mentality â invest wisely!