Will there really be NEPSE bull with economy in the toilet?


Real economy is directly related to performance of stock market. India economy is steaming ahead, 7% growth, stock market is ath. US economy is great, unemployment rate lowest in history, GDP growth best among G7 despite massive interest rate hikes, stock market ath.

But Nepal ko real economy is in deep shit, gdp/debt ratio, high budget deficit, tax revenue cant keep up with expense, no capital expenditure, just administrative expenditure or chalani kharcha which is mainly gov salary eats up all the revenue. read this article on how bad macro indicators are. ५३ खर्ब ८१ अर्ब कुल गार्हस्थ्य उत्पादन भएको नेपालमा बैंक तथा वित्तीय संस्थाहरुको कर्जा लगानी ५० खर्ब २ अर्ब रुपैयाँ छ, जुन करिब ९३ प्रतिशत हुन आउँछ । यो आंकडा हेर्ने हो भने १३९९ डलर प्रतिव्यक्ति आम्दानी हुने देशमा ९३ प्रतिशत निजी क्षेत्रको लगानी हुनु भनेको अर्थतन्त्रको आकारभन्दा बढी कर्जा हुनु हो ।

भारतमा यो अनुपात ५०.४ प्रतिशत, बंगलादेशमा ३८.८, श्रीलंकामा ४६.९, भुटानमा ६७.९, पाकिस्तनमा १४.८ र अमेरिकामा ५१.७ प्रतिशत रहेको पाइन्छ । नेपालले कर्जा लगानीको अनुपातमा आर्थिक वृद्धिमा फाइदा लिन नसकेको कुरा जगजाहेर नै छ किनभने दुई दशकको नेपालको औसत आर्थिक वृद्धिदर जम्मा ४ प्रतिशत हाराहारीमात्रै छ ।

Thoughts? [https://clickmandu.com/2024/01/288425.html](https://clickmandu.com/2024/01/288425.html)


View on r/NepalStock by rameshwo


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