- Safety rush turns to relief rally as Mideast tension ebbs
- Nikkei adds 2%, Australia hits record closing high
- Yen slides to two-week low
- Support for oil and gold hints at caution remaining
SINGAPORE: Asian stocks had their best session in weeks on Thursday, as the United States and Iran backed away from the brink of conflict in the Middle East and investors reversed their flight to safety.
US President Donald Trump responded to an Iranian attack on US forces with sanctions, not violence. Iran offered no immediate signal it would retaliate further over a Jan. 3 US strike that killed a senior military commander.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.3%, its sharpest gain in almost a month.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and Shanghai blue chips each added more than 1%, while Japanese stocks rose further, gaining 2% to their highest for the year so far.
Australian stocks rose 0.8% to a record closing high. Futures markets pointed to extended gains in Europe and the United States, with S&P 500 futures up 0.2% and German DAX futures 0.9% higher.
“I think today is a bit of a relief rally,” said Shane Oliver, Chief Economist at AMP Capital in Sydney.
“Yesterday, investors were fearing the worst, that this was the escalation now underway. The news overnight has been more along the lines that Iran pulled its punches and Trump is toning things down,” he said, “which is seen by investors as substantially reducing the risk of a war.”
Investors quit the safe-haven Japanese yen, sending it sliding from a three-month high to a two-week low of 109.32 yen per dollar.
Oil is cheaper than it was before the killing of the Iranian commander, Qassem Soleimani, in Baghdad, a strike that raised fears of an escalating regional conflict.
Brent futures prices steadied at $65.41 per barrel, about where they began the year.
Gold gave back sharp gains made on Wednesday but remains dearer than before Soleimani’s death, in an indication that investors’ fears have not completely evaporated.
It drifted lower to $1,544.80 per ounce.
SANCTIONS NOT STRIKES
Iran fired missiles at military bases housing US troops in Iraq on Wednesday in response to Soleimani’s killing. But Trump said no Americans were hurt and made no direct threats of a military response in an address to the nation on Wednesday.
“Iran appears to be standing down, which is a good thing for all parties concerned and a very good thing for the world,” he said. He announced economic sanctions on Iran without giving details.
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif had earlier said the strikes “concluded” Tehran’s response to the killing of Soleimani.
Outside equities, US Treasuries, which had soared in the flight to safety a day ago also settled back, with yields on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note at 1.8685%, after dropping as low as 1.705%.
Risk appetite was also evident in currency markets, with China’s trade-exposed yuan standing at a five-month high of 6.9281 per dollar and the Aussie creeping higher.
“All is well – so says Trump! That is the mood today,” said Bank of Singapore currency strategist Moh Siong Sim, a reference to Wednesday’s upbeat tweet from the president.
“I think that neither side wants to have a further escalation in tension, and both parties seem to be standing down.”
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